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Notes for my final thesis on the future of music distribution. Find out more about me on my blog at BasBasBas.com.Twittering

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Gerd Leonhard - Media Futurist
Thanks to Gerd Leonhard for the heads up! He says:
“The main topic of the book (as far as I have read it, at the time of this blog post) is how drastically things have changed because WE ‘the people formerly known as consumers’ are becoming more empowered by the minute, i.e. it’s increasingly more about MEMedia than about THEIRMedia; about conversation and engagement not (you guessed it) about Control.”
Great material for my thesis!
A lot of potential for musicians also.
The above image shows some replies to an article talking about EMI calling for ‘music pirates’ to be unplugged by their ISPs. These are your customers. Market to them. Don’t make them angry.
EMI, Warner, Universal and Sony have already had some success in Ireland:
“In a settlement between record companies EMI, Sony, Universal, Warner and Ireland’s largest ISP, Eircom has agreed to work with the record industry to combat illegal downloading.
The Irish Recorded Music Association (IRMA), which represents the major music groups, is to begin compiling lists of web sites that it claims are damaging its business.
IRMA will then apply for a court order, requiring Eircom and other internet providers to block access to these sites.Eircom will then not contest any court order, meaning that the requests are automatically granted. “We have said we would not oppose an action to the courts,” said a spokesman for Eircom.”
Source: Zeropaid.
Apparently this comes in addition to a “three strikes, you’re out” measure already taken. So the four major labels have been ‘successful’, although it remains to be seen if their actions will actually lead to more profit or not. There have been previous studies which pointed out so-called ‘piracy’ actually stimulates record sales & revenue from live events.
To be fair, EMI is really trying to embrace technology, as they are the first to make use of iTunes Pass new ‘fan’ system (press release here). They’re comfortable with traditional ways of of making money through new media - how about new ways of making money through new media.
Instead of using that powerful lobby to target customers, imagine what type of money it could bring in if they licensed the ISPs. Pressure the government to make new laws, so that you don’t have to take down innocent websites and unplug users.
But we’ll see how that goes. Popular torrent tracker The Pirate Bay is on trial now and prosecution’s having a very hard time.
CNN’s ‘Fortune’ blog is reporting about how Facebook is taking over our lives (found via @ozgurkocca). In the above graphic it shows the adoption rate of new technologies. Note that it took 84 years longer for telephone to get used by 150 million people than Facebook. I’ve heard futurist, biologist, immortality researcher and arguably transhumanist Aubrey De Grey say before that technology advances exponentially, which he used as an argument supporting his notion that current newborns could live up to 500 years.
What does this all mean for music distribution? Could we get to a point where there’s no longer such a thing as ‘distribution’ regarding digital content? It just ‘is’ and finds you when you need it, instead of you having to find it yourself… What do you think this exponentiality of technological advancement means for the future of music distribution? Can we phathom what the future holds in store for us even ten years from now?
Now here’s an interesting story. The Australian government apparently owns a certain percentage of a particular ISP (click the link for the details). This ISP has made a huge profit last year and this made the Australian government some money also. ISPs make money by selling bandwith and of course a considerable chunk of that bandwith was used for illegal peer-to-peer filesharing. From this chunk alone, the linked article argues, Australia made $2 billion last year.
They’re doing a good job on keeping everybody happy… The lobbyists, themselves and errr… oh no, not the ISPs and consumers (aka citizens) that risk getting prosecuted.
Digital Music Distribution service Routenote does some research into digital music sales and blogs about Digital Music Stores Compared. The big three compared: Amazon, iTunes and eMusic.
Including an interesting link about the demographics of Facebook.